人口动态变化下深圳高等教育行业需求适应性分析
Analysis of the Adaptability of Demand in Shenzhen's Higher EducationIndustry under Dynamic Population Changes
作者: 梁怡华(香港浸会大学,春港999077)
关键词: 人口动态变化;高等教育需求;供需矛盾;适应性策略 Population dynamic changes Higher education demand; Contradiction betweensupply and demand; Adaptive strategy
摘要:为分析人口动态变化对深圳高等教育行业需求的影响，探讨其适应性策略，研究通过梳理人口增长数据、结构特征及其对教育需求的作用，结合深圳高等教育供给、需求現状及供需矛盾分析，论证了人口动态变化下行业面临的挑战。研究显示，学龄人口结构变化导致不同层次教育需求增减，而高等教育在供给能力、专业设置等方面存在不足，供需不匹配问题突出。为此，提出政策调整、教育资源整合及教育模式创新等适应性策略。
Abstract: To analyze the impact of population dynamic changes on the demand of the highereducation industry in Shenzhen and explore its adaptive strategies, this study, by sortingout population growth data, structural characteristics and their role in educational demand,combined with the current supply and demand situation and supply-demand contradictionanalysis of higher education in Shenzhen, demonstrates the challenges faced by the industryunder population dynamic changes. Research shows that changes in the structure of the school-age population have led to an increase or decrease in educational demands at different levels.However,higher education has deficiencies in supply capacity and professional Settings, and theproblem of mismatch between supply and demand is prominent, To this end, adaptive strategiessuch as policy adjustment, integration of educational resources and innovation of educationalmodels are proposed.
